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Four Years After Russia’s Invasion, Ukraine Has Become a “Steel Porcupine”

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  The ongoing war has driven extremely rapid innovation in Ukraine’s defense sector—and many Western firms have taken note. As Russia’s full-scale invasion enters its fifth year, it is clear that when Vladimir Putin announced the war, he did not envision a grinding campaign of attrition merely to inch forward in Ukraine. Western leaders initially believed Kyiv would fall within days or weeks. Instead, Ukraine defied those expectations, demonstrating the power of asymmetric warfare driven by unmanned systems. Now, it aims to build a powerful domestic defense industry for the future—in effect, a “steel porcupine” that Russia can never ingest. In October 2025, Brandon Weichert wrote that building domestic air defense systems inside Ukraine would “make no difference” in Kyiv’s efforts to defend itself against Russia. His broader critique was that the “Build in Ukraine” initiative would likely “prove to be wholly insufficient to turn the tide of the war.” This critiq...

China’s J-10 Fighter Jet Could Reshape the Indo-Pacific

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  The J-10 is not China’s most advanced fighter jet—but it is lightweight, fast, and adaptable to a wide variety of mission sets. The Chengdu J-10 represents a turning point in Chinese military aviation: the first truly modern, domestically designed multirole fighter fielded at scale. Often compared to the American F-16 or the Swedish Gripen, the J-10 symbolizes China’s transition from Soviet-derived platforms to indigenous design capability. And while the J-10 lacks stealth capabilities, it still serves as a central platform to the PLAAF’s force structure.  The J-10’s Origins and Development Development of the J-10 began in the 1980s with the intent of replacing Beijing’s aging J-6 and J-7 fleets. The influences of the design are debated, with some suggesting that Israeli’s Lavi program provided technical inputs. The finished product entered service in the early 2000s, and was initially powered with the Russian AL-31FN engines, before being upgraded to Chinese ...

The Stars Are Aligning for Hezbollah’s Disarmament-

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  Despite public displays of defiance, Hezbollah is weaker than ever before—and the rest of Lebanon is united in opposition to its continued militancy. Lebanon has witnessed heightened momentum this month surrounding efforts to disarm Hezbollah. While the visit by Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) Commander Rodolphe Haykal to Washington to discuss military cooperation reaffirmed the importance of sustained support for the LAF in its efforts to defend state sovereignty and advance Hezbollah’s disarmament, the visit of French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot to Beirut to coordinate preparations for a March conference in Paris backing the LAF underscored growing international pressure on the issue. These visits coincided with a congressional hearing dedicated to Hezbollah’s disarmament, as well as the introduction of a new bill by congressmen Darrell Issa (R-California) and Darin LaHood (R-Illinois) seeking to sanction “any foreign person or entity t...

Why Central Asia Has Moved Up Washington’s Strategic Agenda

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  The durability of Washington’s engagement in Central Asia will depend on if the United States can successfully integrate into the region, not just sign headline deals.  Gor’s Tour: A US Economic Push in Eurasia This month, the United States signaled a renewed push into Central Asia through the largest American business delegation ever deployed to the region. Sergio Gor, the newly confirmed US Special Envoy for South and Central Asia, led the delegation on missions to Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, and Tashkent, Uzbekistan, underscoring Washington’s ambitions to compete economically with entrenched Russian and Chinese influence. In Bishkek, Gor’s talks with Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov and Foreign Minister Zheenbek Kulubaev combined traditional diplomacy with a strong commercial thrust. The centerpiece was the B5+1 Business Forum, where more than 50 US companies engaged local counterparts on themes ranging from artificial intelligence (AI) and fintech to critical minerals a...