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Is the Birr’s Managed Depreciation Helping Exports or Eroding Household Welfare?

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  Ethiopia’s exchange rate policy—anchored for decades in a tightly managed depreciation of the birr—has been one of the most consequential yet contested elements of its macroeconomic framework. Policymakers have justified gradual devaluation as a tool to restore export competitiveness, correct chronic balance-of-payments deficits, and align the official rate with market realities. Critics, however, argue that persistent depreciation has disproportionately harmed households through inflation, eroded real incomes, and failed to deliver a decisive export breakthrough. The core question, therefore, is not whether depreciation has effects—clearly it does—but whether those effects are structurally beneficial or socially corrosive in Ethiopia’s specific economic context. This essay argues that managed depreciation has delivered limited export gains while imposing significant and uneven welfare costs on households , largely because Ethiopia’s export base, production structure, and import ...

Are African political elites empowered or constrained by the relationship with China?

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  African Political Elites and the China Relationship: Empowerment or Constraint? China’s growing engagement with Africa represents one of the most consequential shifts in the continent’s political and economic landscape. Through infrastructure development, trade agreements, financial loans, and technical cooperation, China has become a central partner for African states. A critical question emerges: does this relationship empower African political elites , giving them resources, autonomy, and leverage, or does it constrain them , creating dependencies, accountability challenges, and subtle external pressures? Understanding this dynamic requires examining both the structural features of the China–Africa relationship and the practical outcomes for African political leadership. I. Mechanisms of Elite Empowerment 1. Access to Development Financing and Infrastructure Projects One of the clearest forms of empowerment for African political elites stems from China’s financial support and ...

Are African political realities sufficiently understood and respected within EU policy design?

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  Understanding African Political Realities:- Respect, Misalignment, and Consequences in EU Policy Design- EU engagement with Africa has expanded over decades from a development-focused agenda to a multifaceted partnership encompassing trade, governance, security, and climate change. In official discourse, EU policy emphasizes mutual partnership, local ownership, and respect for African priorities . Yet the practical design and implementation of policies often reveal gaps in contextual understanding and occasional disregard for political complexity, reflecting structural asymmetries in power, knowledge, and institutional capacity. Understanding and respecting African political realities is critical because policies divorced from local dynamics can undermine both effectiveness and legitimacy , even when intended to strengthen governance, security, or development. 1. EU Policy Frameworks and the African Context 1.1 Formal Recognition of African Agency EU policy documents, including ...

Are Elections in Nigeria Truly Democratic If Tribal Allegiances Override Competence and Ideas?

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 Democracy, in its truest form, is the governance of a people by their free will — a system where leaders are chosen based on competence, ideas, and vision for collective progress. Yet, in Nigeria, and indeed much of Africa, elections are often less about ideas and more about identity. Rather than being contests of policy and performance, they become referendums on ethnicity, religion, and regional loyalty. When citizens vote primarily for candidates because they share the same tribe or region, the spirit of democracy is subverted. What emerges is not a government of the people, but a government of tribes. The question, therefore, is urgent and uncomfortable: Can Nigeria’s elections be considered truly democratic if tribal allegiances consistently override competence and ideas? The honest answer is no . For while the process may appear democratic — with ballots, campaigns, and results — the essence of democracy, which is informed choice and equal representation, is hollowed out w...

Are Christian fellowships failing because belief is emphasized more than practice?

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In many Western contexts, Christian fellowships are struggling precisely because belief is emphasized more than practice. This imbalance transforms faith from a lived, communal experience into a largely intellectual or nominal identity, weakening cohesion, accountability, and resilience. 1. Belief without embodied action Western Christianity often prioritizes doctrinal assent—professing belief in God, Jesus, or core teachings—while downplaying disciplined practices like prayer, fasting, service, and moral accountability. When belief exists primarily in the mind rather than in daily life, it fails to form habits that bind individuals together. Communities built on ideas alone lack the shared experiences that generate trust, loyalty, and endurance. 2. Individualized spirituality replaces communal formation Belief can be personal and internal, whereas practice is inherently social. Regular communal worship, service projects, and shared disciplines create dependence on others and mutual ...

Who Defines Success in Counterterrorism: Local Communities or External Military Planners?

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  Success as a Contested Concept- “Success” in counterterrorism appears, on the surface, to be a technical matter: fewer attacks, degraded networks, captured leaders, reclaimed territory. Yet beneath these metrics lies a deeper struggle over who gets to define what success actually means . For local communities living with daily insecurity, success is often measured in safety, dignity, livelihoods, and trust in institutions. For external military planners, success is more frequently measured in operational terms: threat disruption, freedom of movement, intelligence dominance, and mission sustainability. These two definitions rarely align perfectly—and when they diverge, counterterrorism may appear successful on paper while failing in lived reality. 1. The Planner’s Definition of Success External military planners—whether national forces operating abroad or multinational coalitions—operate within institutional logics shaped by doctrine, budgets, political accountability, and allian...