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Friday, November 6, 2026

Tech, AI Infrastructure, Macro, Ag Commodities & Crypto Daily Briefing Crypto Futures: Open Interest (OI), Funding Rates & 24-Hr Liquidations

 



Tech, AI Infrastructure, Macro, Ag Commodities & Crypto Daily Briefing

Crypto Futures: Open Interest (OI), Funding Rates & 24-Hr Liquidations

  • Total Crypto Market Liquidations: ~$631 Million to $800 Million cleared across leveraged positions in the past 24 hours amid sharp volatility and short squeezes above major psychological resistance.

  • Bitcoin ($BTC):

    • Perpetuals Price: Trading near $78,170 – $80,500.

    • Global Open Interest (OI): ~$18.83 Billion.

    • 24-Hour Liquidations: ~$147.5 Million total (Shorts: $102.7M / 93.3%, Longs: $7.37M / 6.7%), reflecting heavy short-side liquidation cascades as prices squeezed upward.

    • Funding Rate: Neutral at +0.0076% / 8-hr (+0.0016% weighted average).

  • Ethereum ($ETH):

    • Perpetuals Price: Trading near $2,350 – $2,420.

    • Global Open Interest (OI): ~$18.41 Billion (+5.52% positioning growth).

    • 24-Hour Liquidations: ~$52.3 Million total (Shorts: $45.7M / 87.4%, Longs: $6.61M / 12.6%).

    • Funding Rate: Steady near +0.0079% / 8-hr.

  • Solana ($SOL):

    • Perpetuals Price: Holding support around $95.40 – $101.80.

    • Global Open Interest (OI): ~$2.26 Billion.

    • 24-Hour Liquidations: ~$15.65 Million total (Longs: $10.38M / 66.3%, Shorts: $5.27M / 33.7%).

    • Funding Rate: Moderate at +0.0051% / 8-hr.

Macroeconomic Indicators & Commodity Futures Trends

  • FOMC Target Rate & Fed Odds: Benchmark rate holds at 3.75%–4.00%. Market odds via OIS/FedWatch sit at ~76%–88% for a 25 bps rate hike at the December 9, 2026 FOMC meeting. The 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield ($TNX) is holding at 5.01%.

  • Precious & Energy Commodities:

    • Gold Futures ($GC): Surged to $4,034–$4,106/oz (+ $33.50 to + $133.90), setting new highs on safe-haven demand.

    • WTI Crude Oil Futures ($CL): Rebounded to $90.52–$96.07/bbl.

    • Natural Gas Futures ($NG): Holding near $2.80–$2.96/MMBtu on steady LNG export demand.

    • Silver Futures ($SI): Testing support near $49.10–$49.30/oz.

  • Agricultural Commodities ($W, $C,$ZS):

    • Wheat ($W): December Chicago Wheat settled near $5.99/bushel.

    • Corn ($C): December Corn closed near $4.40–$4.44/bushel.

    • Soybeans ($ZS): January Soybeans dropped toward $11.88–$12.02/bushel.

US-China AI Dynamics & Policy Guardrails

  • China AI Export Controls (Announcement No. 48): MOFCOM and MOST licensing controls strictly enforce pre-export registration across 23 AI categories, targeting open-weights model code and software IP.

  • U.S. Capital Restrictions: U.S. Treasury rules under the Comprehensive Outbound Investment National Security Act strictly restrict VC and private equity funding into Chinese AI models and advanced packaging.

AI Infrastructure & Supply Chain (NVDA, AMD, SMCI, TSM, ASML, AVGO)

  • Super Micro Computer ($SMCI): Rallied +8% to +10% after-hours following Q1 FY2027 revenue of $19.95B (+298% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $1.81, raising full-year revenue guidance to $72B–$82B.

  • AMD ($AMD): Gained +6.8% after-hours (trading around $488.78) on accelerating data center accelerator demand.

  • Nvidia ($NVDA): Consolidating near $200.13–$207.04 ahead of its November earnings release.

  • Taiwan Semiconductor ($TSM): Supported by 68% HPC revenue contribution and N2P process node expansion.

  • ASML Holding ($ASML): Supported by €11.7B quarterly net sales and committed EUV capacity through 2028.

  • Broadcom ($AVGO): Outperforming on custom AI XPU ASIC growth and Tomahawk 6 switching deployments.

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